Galaxy Ez Turbo · BO3
result vs prediction
Stray Teamwin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
VooDooSh Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stray Team
Ogre Magi
balod9l · 4 games
Rubick
Vovapain · 3 games
Alchemistoften banned
zvёzd · 2 games
Ancient Apparition
Vovapain · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Stray · 2 games
Centaur Warrunner
DkFogas · 2 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
DkFogas · 2 games
Death Prophet
Stray · 2 games
VooDooSh Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
636 picks · 445 bans
Rubick
600 picks · 339 bans
Pangolier
452 picks · 653 bans
Phoenix
441 picks · 513 bans
Tiny
394 picks · 349 bans
Ember Spirit
340 picks · 497 bans
Storm Spirit
340 picks · 385 bans
Puck
315 picks · 982 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 70%
Hero pool strength50% VooDooSh Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total55% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Stray Team 55%VooDooSh Team 45%
The model gave 55% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team.
Game 2prediction correct
Stray Team 55%VooDooSh Team 45%
The model gave 55% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 55%
Series resultStray Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2