The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTBthe bugloss 0:2
series probability
8%92%
probability at match start · final 0:2
GamerLegionwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
the bug
Axeoften banned
monkeys-forever · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
Newsham · 3 games
Rubick
Newsham · 3 games
Viperoften banned
iAnnihilate · 3 games
Centaur Warrunner
iAnnihilate · 2 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Newsham · 2 games
Lion
Newsham · 2 games
Lone Druidoften banned
Boris · 2 games
GamerLegion
Storm Spiritoften banned
RCY · 24 games
Tusksignature
Bignum · 22 games
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 18 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 18 games
Warlock
Speeed · 18 games
Phoenixoften banned
Speeed · 17 games
Rubick
Bignum · 17 games
Chensignature
Speeed · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
635 picks · 444 bans
Rubick
600 picks · 339 bans
Pangolier
451 picks · 653 bans
Phoenix
440 picks · 513 bans
Tiny
393 picks · 349 bans
Storm Spirit
340 picks · 383 bans
Ember Spirit
339 picks · 497 bans
Puck
315 picks · 980 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 55%
Hero pool strength56% the bug
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:35
the bug 22%GamerLegion 78%
The model gave 78% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 28:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
NecrophosBoris
TinyGhost
Ember SpiritiAnnihilate
BatriderFayde
Axemonkeys-forever
KezRCY
Skywrath MageNewsham
RingmasterBignum
Phoenixempyrean5
Winter WyvernSpeeed
Game 2prediction correct17:51
the bug 22%GamerLegion 78%
The model gave 78% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 26:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendBoris
SnapfireRCY
PangolieriAnnihilate
Drow RangerGhost
Brewmastermonkeys-forever
KunkkaFayde
Lichempyrean5
Bounty HunterSpeeed
PudgeNewsham
HoodwinkBignum
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 92%
Series resultGamerLegion 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2