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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Aim Possibleloss 0:2
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aim Possible

Warlock
Warlock
Aidar · 3 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Aidar · 2 games
0%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
rubikon155 · 2 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
rubikon155 · 2 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Aidar · 1 game
0%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
rubikon155 · 1 game
0%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
rubikon155 · 1 game
0%

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 9 games
33%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 8 games
0%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
спортик · 8 games
25%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 6 games
33%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Covisnine · 5 games
80%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
спортик · 5 games
60%
Muerta
Muerta
Shishak · 5 games
20%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
спортик · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
479 picks · 455 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
460 picks · 535 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
438 picks · 215 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
343 picks · 628 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 431 bans
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
292 picks · 633 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
287 picks · 208 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
275 picks · 78 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 43%
Hero pool strength56% Aim Possible
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:34
Aim Possible 35%Nemiga Gaming 65%
The model gave 65% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 49:36.
Game 2prediction correct42:30
Aim Possible 35%Nemiga Gaming 65%
The model gave 65% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 53:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 65%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2