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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Ban9PivoSamogonloss 0:2
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:2
1w Teamwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ban9PivoSamogon

No games played over 6 months.

1w Team

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 22 games
45%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Fishman · 20 games
45%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Munkushi~ · 16 games
44%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Chira JUNIOR · 16 games
69%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Munkushi~ · 15 games
40%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Cloud · 14 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Cloud · 13 games
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Munkushi~ · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
479 picks · 457 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
458 picks · 539 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
436 picks · 214 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
341 picks · 624 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 429 bans
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
291 picks · 631 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
285 picks · 204 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
274 picks · 78 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Ban9PivoSamogon
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total75% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:5
Ban9PivoSamogon 25%1w Team 75%
The model gave 75% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 26:57.
Game 2prediction correct9:29
Ban9PivoSamogon 25%1w Team 75%
The model gave 75% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 28:59.
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 75%
Series result1w Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2