The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Hassle Esportsloss 0:2series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ban9PivoSamogonwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hassle Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Ban9PivoSamogon
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 457 bans
Tiny
453 picks · 537 bans
Ringmaster
433 picks · 213 bans
Terrorblade
336 picks · 608 bans
Storm Spirit
300 picks · 422 bans
Ancient Apparition
290 picks · 627 bans
Tusk
285 picks · 200 bans
Windranger
271 picks · 78 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Hassle Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Ban9PivoSamogon
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:31
Hassle Esports 25%Ban9PivoSamogon 75%
The model gave 75% on Ban9PivoSamogon — the game was taken by Ban9PivoSamogon in 25:50.
Game 2prediction correct18:34
Hassle Esports 25%Ban9PivoSamogon 75%
The model gave 75% on Ban9PivoSamogon — the game was taken by Ban9PivoSamogon in 28:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteBan9PivoSamogon · 75%
Series resultBan9PivoSamogon 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2