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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Runa Teamwin 2:1
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Hydraloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Runa Team

Windranger
Windranger
queezy · 19 games
53%
Tiny
Tinysignature
nicky`cool · 14 games
79%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Hduo · 12 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Hduo · 12 games
75%
Batrider
Batridersignature
nicky`cool · 9 games
78%
Silencer
Silencer
Hduo · 9 games
56%
Slark
Slarksignature
Shigetsu · 8 games
75%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
queezy · 7 games
71%

Hydra

Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
selfhate · 13 games
46%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Actor · 12 games
92%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
selfhate · 10 games
70%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
selfhate · 8 games
38%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Actor · 7 games
57%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ethereal · 7 games
57%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Actor · 6 games
50%
Muerta
Muertasignature
prblms · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
480 picks · 457 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
453 picks · 537 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
433 picks · 213 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
336 picks · 608 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
300 picks · 422 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
290 picks · 627 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
285 picks · 200 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
271 picks · 78 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 61%
Hero pool strength51% Runa Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total56% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:24
Runa Team 51%Hydra 49%
The model gave 51% on Runa Team — the game was taken by Runa Team in 47:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenShigetsu
54% · 49 games50% · 106 games
Shadow Fiendselfhate
Shadow Fiend
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightnicky`cool
53% · 35 games37% · 57 games
Queen of Painmellojul
Queen of Pain
Bristleback
BristlebackAlberkaaa
63% · 92 games47% · 115 games
Centaur WarrunnerActor
Centaur Warrunner
Weaver
Weaverqueezy
48% · 76 games
Lich
LichHduo
53% · 26 games
Game 2prediction missed13:33
Runa Team 50%Hydra 50%
The model gave 50% on Runa Team — the game was taken by Hydra in 26:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyShigetsu
58% · 278 games42% · 132 games
Svenselfhate
Sven
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightnicky`cool
64% · 41 game47% · 57 games
Void Spiritmellojul
Void Spirit
Magnus
MagnusAlberkaaa
59% · 103 games42% · 421 game
PangolierActor
Pangolier
Windranger
Windrangerqueezy
49% · 129 games
Lich
LichHduo
54% · 59 games
Game 3prediction missed32:32
Runa Team 49%Hydra 51%
The model gave 51% on Hydra — the game was taken by Runa Team in 51:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaShigetsu
44% · 74 games43% · 27 games
Death Prophetmellojul
Death Prophet
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritnicky`cool
58% · 74 gameslittle data
Juggernautselfhate
Juggernaut
Enigma
EnigmaAlberkaaa
56% · 35 games47% · 210 games
DoomActor
Doom
Windranger
Windrangerqueezy
47% · 47 games
Oracle
OracleHduo
73% · 7 games
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 56%
Series resultRuna Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3