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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Tech Free Gamingwin 2:1
series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Kukuysloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tech Free Gaming

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
MamangDaya · 3 games
67%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Varizh · 2 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
TraVins · 2 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
TraVins · 2 games
50%
Riki
Riki
dalul · 2 games
100%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
db- · 1 game
100%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
db- · 1 game
100%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Varizh · 1 game
100%

Kukuys

Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Armel · 6 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Jing · 5 games
60%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Jing · 4 games
25%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Yowe · 3 games
0%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Yowe · 3 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Gabbi · 3 games
33%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Yowe · 3 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Armel · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
480 picks · 457 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
453 picks · 537 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
433 picks · 213 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
336 picks · 606 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
300 picks · 421 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
289 picks · 626 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
284 picks · 200 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
271 picks · 78 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 67%
Hero pool strength56% Tech Free Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:33
Tech Free Gaming 20%Kukuys 80%
The model gave 80% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Kukuys in 30:41.
Game 2prediction missed30:18
Tech Free Gaming 20%Kukuys 80%
The model gave 80% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Tech Free Gaming in 48:49.
Game 3prediction missed50:26
Tech Free Gaming 20%Kukuys 80%
The model gave 80% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Tech Free Gaming in 46:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteKukuys · 80%
Series resultTech Free Gaming 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3