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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
The MongolZloss 0:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tech Free Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

The MongolZ

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
JG · 12 games
25%
Doom
Doomoften banned
JG · 10 games
40%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 10 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Wonder'boy · 10 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
Wonder'boy · 10 games
60%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Hishge · 9 games
67%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
JG · 9 games
33%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
Hishge · 9 games
44%

Tech Free Gaming

Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
TraVins · 2 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
dalul · 2 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Varizh · 1 game
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
MamangDaya · 1 game
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
MamangDaya · 1 game
100%
Muerta
Muerta
dalul · 1 game
0%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
db- · 1 game
0%
Pugna
Pugna
Varizh · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
483 picks · 459 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
451 picks · 536 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
433 picks · 208 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
336 picks · 599 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
298 picks · 418 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
288 picks · 620 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
285 picks · 195 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
270 picks · 77 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 56%
Hero pool strength50% The MongolZ
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% The MongolZ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:39
The MongolZ 61%Tech Free Gaming 39%
The model gave 61% on The MongolZ — the game was taken by Tech Free Gaming in 29:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bane
Baneace12
66% · 32 games30% · 6 games
RazorTraVins
Razor
57% · 3 games
Enigmadb-
Enigma
29% · 13 games
PangolierMamangDaya
Pangolier
36% · 10 games
Ancient ApparitionVarizh
Ancient Apparition
little data
Rikidalul
Riki
Game 2prediction missed21:27
The MongolZ 55%Tech Free Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on The MongolZ — the game was taken by Tech Free Gaming in 38:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
Muertaace12
40% · 395 games56% · 90 games
Dragon KnightTraVins
Dragon Knight
66% · 49 games
Dark Seerdb-
Dark Seer
54% · 134 games
TinyMamangDaya
Tiny
58% · 95 games
GyrocopterVarizh
Gyrocopter
65% · 27 games
Rikidalul
Riki
Model check result
Model favoriteThe MongolZ · 62%
Series resultTech Free Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2