?
arrow_backBack to match
The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
KINGSloss 1:2
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
InterActive Philippineswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

KINGS

No games played over 6 months.

InterActive Philippines

Lina
Linasignature
Nishababy · 6 games
67%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
0%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Nishababy · 1 game
0%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
483 picks · 459 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
451 picks · 536 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
433 picks · 208 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
336 picks · 599 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
298 picks · 418 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
288 picks · 620 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
285 picks · 195 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
270 picks · 77 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% KINGS
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total58% InterActive Philippines
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:28
KINGS 42%InterActive Philippines 58%
The model gave 58% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by KINGS in 44:36.
Game 2prediction correct21:26
KINGS 42%InterActive Philippines 58%
The model gave 58% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines in 45:14.
Game 3prediction correct8:40
KINGS 42%InterActive Philippines 58%
The model gave 58% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines in 35:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteInterActive Philippines · 58%
Series resultInterActive Philippines 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3