The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionXxanblloss 0:2
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
xanbl
No games played over 6 months.
Aim Possible
Warlock
Aidar · 3 games
Jakiro
Aidar · 2 games
Slarkoften banned
rubikon155 · 2 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
rubikon155 · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Aidar · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
rubikon155 · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
rubikon155 · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
471 picks · 443 bans
Tiny
444 picks · 499 bans
Ringmaster
433 picks · 208 bans
Terrorblade
333 picks · 583 bans
Storm Spirit
292 picks · 402 bans
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 613 bans
Tusk
277 picks · 186 bans
Windranger
264 picks · 74 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% xanbl
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Aim Possible
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:23
xanbl 48%Aim Possible 52%
The model gave 52% on Aim Possible — the game was taken by Aim Possible in 31:30.
Game 2prediction correct44:12
xanbl 48%Aim Possible 52%
The model gave 52% on Aim Possible — the game was taken by Aim Possible in 35:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteAim Possible · 52%
Series resultAim Possible 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2