The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Cyber Goosewin 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PIPYAO TEAMloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Cyber Goose
No games played over 6 months.
PIPYAO TEAM
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
471 picks · 443 bans
Tiny
444 picks · 499 bans
Ringmaster
433 picks · 208 bans
Terrorblade
333 picks · 583 bans
Storm Spirit
292 picks · 402 bans
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 613 bans
Tusk
277 picks · 186 bans
Windranger
264 picks · 74 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Cyber Goose
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Cyber Goose
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:3
Cyber Goose 78%PIPYAO TEAM 22%
The model gave 78% on Cyber Goose — the game was taken by Cyber Goose in 18:45.
Game 2prediction correct32:7
Cyber Goose 78%PIPYAO TEAM 22%
The model gave 78% on Cyber Goose — the game was taken by Cyber Goose in 16:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteCyber Goose · 78%
Series resultCyber Goose 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2