The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Winter Bearwin 2:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Djelmoshatloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Winter Bear
Phoenix
Delight · 11 games
Dark Willow
jAMES · 5 games
Nyx Assassin
Delight · 5 games
Shadow Demon
Delight · 4 games
Clinkz
Delight · 3 games
Lion
Delight · 3 games
Bounty Hunter
Delight · 2 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
jAMES · 2 games
Djelmoshat
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
470 picks · 443 bans
Tiny
443 picks · 497 bans
Ringmaster
433 picks · 201 bans
Terrorblade
332 picks · 582 bans
Storm Spirit
290 picks · 401 bans
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 606 bans
Tusk
276 picks · 185 bans
Windranger
265 picks · 74 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Djelmoshat
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Winter Bear
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:34
Winter Bear 75%Djelmoshat 25%
The model gave 75% on Winter Bear — the game was taken by Winter Bear in 31:48.
Game 2prediction correct26:6
Winter Bear 75%Djelmoshat 25%
The model gave 75% on Winter Bear — the game was taken by Winter Bear in 11:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteWinter Bear · 75%
Series resultWinter Bear 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2