The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Icebear Clubloss 0:2series probability
8%92%
probability at match start · final 0:2
1w Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Icebear Club
No games played over 6 months.
1w Team
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 22 games
Disruptor
Fishman · 20 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Munkushi~ · 16 games
Tinysignature
Chira JUNIOR · 16 games
Magnusoften banned
Munkushi~ · 15 games
Doomoften banned
Cloud · 14 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Cloud · 13 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Munkushi~ · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
470 picks · 443 bans
Tiny
443 picks · 497 bans
Ringmaster
433 picks · 201 bans
Terrorblade
332 picks · 582 bans
Storm Spirit
290 picks · 401 bans
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 606 bans
Tusk
276 picks · 185 bans
Windranger
265 picks · 74 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 46%
Hero pool strength51% Icebear Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Icebear Club 8%1w Team 92%
The model gave 92% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team.
Game 2prediction correct
Icebear Club 8%1w Team 92%
The model gave 92% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team.
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 92%
Series result1w Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2