The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Ban9PivoSamogonwin 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BVbon voyageloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ban9PivoSamogon
No games played over 6 months.
bon voyage
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
470 picks · 443 bans
Tiny
443 picks · 497 bans
Ringmaster
433 picks · 201 bans
Terrorblade
332 picks · 582 bans
Storm Spirit
290 picks · 401 bans
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 606 bans
Tusk
276 picks · 184 bans
Windranger
265 picks · 74 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Ban9PivoSamogon
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Ban9PivoSamogon
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:18
Ban9PivoSamogon 78%bon voyage 22%
The model gave 78% on Ban9PivoSamogon — the game was taken by Ban9PivoSamogon in 42:11.
Game 2prediction correct31:19
Ban9PivoSamogon 78%bon voyage 22%
The model gave 78% on Ban9PivoSamogon — the game was taken by Ban9PivoSamogon in 42:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteBan9PivoSamogon · 78%
Series resultBan9PivoSamogon 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2