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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 1:2
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Kukuyswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yangon Galacticos

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Young PH · 4 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 4 games
0%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
33%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ksh · 2 games
50%
Lina
Lina
Young PH · 2 games
50%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%

Kukuys

Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Armel · 6 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Jing · 5 games
60%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Jing · 4 games
25%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Yowe · 3 games
0%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Yowe · 3 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Gabbi · 3 games
33%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Yowe · 3 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Armel · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
473 picks · 443 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
443 picks · 500 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
432 picks · 200 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
329 picks · 579 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
289 picks · 402 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 604 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
277 picks · 180 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
262 picks · 74 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Kukuys
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total67% Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Yangon Galacticos 33%Kukuys 67%
The model gave 67% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos.
Game 2prediction correct
Yangon Galacticos 33%Kukuys 67%
The model gave 67% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Kukuys.
Game 3prediction correct
Yangon Galacticos 33%Kukuys 67%
The model gave 67% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Kukuys.
Model check result
Model favoriteKukuys · 67%
Series resultKukuys 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3