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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
H1N1loss 1:2
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
InterActive Philippineswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

H1N1

No games played over 6 months.

InterActive Philippines

Lina
Linasignature
Nishababy · 6 games
67%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
0%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Nishababy · 1 game
0%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
473 picks · 443 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
443 picks · 500 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
432 picks · 200 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
329 picks · 579 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
289 picks · 402 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 604 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
277 picks · 180 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
262 picks · 74 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength52% H1N1
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% InterActive Philippines
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
H1N1 40%InterActive Philippines 60%
The model gave 60% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines.
Game 2prediction missed
H1N1 40%InterActive Philippines 60%
The model gave 60% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by H1N1.
Game 3prediction correct
H1N1 40%InterActive Philippines 60%
The model gave 60% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines.
Model check result
Model favoriteInterActive Philippines · 60%
Series resultInterActive Philippines 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3