Galaxy Ez Turbo · BO3
result vs prediction
Recrent Teamloss 1:2series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:2
STSereGGa Teamwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Recrent Team
Grimstroke
Shishak · 4 games
Axeoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 3 games
Clinkzoften banned
Smiling Knight · 3 games
Dark Willow
Shishak · 3 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
Smiling Knight · 3 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Recrent · 3 games
Lich
Ubica · 3 games
Pudge
Ubica · 3 games
SereGGa Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
636 picks · 444 bans
Rubick
601 picks · 339 bans
Pangolier
452 picks · 657 bans
Phoenix
444 picks · 517 bans
Tiny
394 picks · 349 bans
Storm Spirit
342 picks · 384 bans
Ember Spirit
340 picks · 497 bans
Puck
318 picks · 983 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Recrent Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Recrent Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Recrent Team 61%SereGGa Team 39%
The model gave 61% on Recrent Team — the game was taken by SereGGa Team.
Game 2prediction correct
Recrent Team 61%SereGGa Team 39%
The model gave 61% on Recrent Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team.
Game 3prediction missed
Recrent Team 61%SereGGa Team 39%
The model gave 61% on Recrent Team — the game was taken by SereGGa Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteRecrent Team · 61%
Series resultSereGGa Team 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3