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Galaxy Ez Turbo · BO3
result vs prediction
Stray Teamwin 2:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SereGGa Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Stray Team

Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
balod9l · 4 games
75%
Rubick
Rubick
Vovapain · 3 games
33%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
zvёzd · 2 games
0%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
Vovapain · 2 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Stray · 2 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
DkFogas · 2 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
DkFogas · 2 games
0%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
Stray · 2 games
100%

SereGGa Team

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
640 picks · 445 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
600 picks · 339 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
452 picks · 658 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
446 picks · 521 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
393 picks · 348 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
343 picks · 498 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
343 picks · 387 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
318 picks · 986 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% SereGGa Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Stray Team 63%SereGGa Team 37%
The model gave 63% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team.
Game 2prediction missed
Stray Team 63%SereGGa Team 37%
The model gave 63% on Stray Team — the game was taken by SereGGa Team.
Game 3prediction correct
Stray Team 63%SereGGa Team 37%
The model gave 63% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 63%
Series resultStray Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3