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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 37 games
78%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 31 game
84%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 29 games
69%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 26 games
73%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 25 games
60%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 22 games
77%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
No[o]ne · 22 games
59%
Slark
Slarksignature
9Class · 22 games
82%

Gaimin Gladiators

Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 31 game
71%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Quinn · 25 games
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Malady · 23 games
48%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 22 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ace · 19 games
42%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Ace · 18 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Ace · 16 games
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 16 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
473 picks · 450 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
439 picks · 506 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
430 picks · 200 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
328 picks · 577 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
288 picks · 404 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
286 picks · 604 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
277 picks · 179 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
262 picks · 74 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 55%
Hero pool strength61% PARIVISION
Head-to-head3 – 3
Model total79% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:19
PARIVISION 68%Gaimin Gladiators 32%
The model gave 68% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 35:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerSatanic
48% · 34 games39% · 114 games
TerrorbladeWatson
Terrorblade
Sand King
Sand KingNo[o]ne
54% · 236 games44% · 135 games
PuckQuinn
Puck
Enigma
EnigmaDM
58% · 146 games47% · 106 games
Centaur WarrunnerAce
Centaur Warrunner
Pudge
Pudge9Class
51% · 15 games44% · 140 games
MuertatOfu
Muerta
Naga Siren
Naga SirenDukalis
62% · 93 games46% · 29 games
Treant ProtectorMalady
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction correct49:38
PARIVISION 69%Gaimin Gladiators 31%
The model gave 69% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 51:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaSatanic
53% · 90 games52% · 174 games
MorphlingWatson
Morphling
Venomancer
VenomancerDM
48% · 32 games45% · 54 games
BrewmasterAce
Brewmaster
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritNo[o]ne
52% · 231 game49% · 86 games
KunkkaQuinn
Kunkka
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetDukalis
48% · 111 games55% · 12 games
UndyingMalady
Undying
Pudge
Pudge9Class
56% · 24 games46% · 162 games
BatridertOfu
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 79%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2