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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yakult Brothersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 33 games
61%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 29 games
62%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 27 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 25 games
72%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Kataomi · 21 game
57%
Kunkka
Kunkka
MieRo · 21 game
57%

Yakult Brothers

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 24 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
BoBoKa · 23 games
57%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
zeal · 22 games
45%
Phoenix
Phoenix
天命 · 21 game
52%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 20 games
60%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 19 games
63%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Emo · 19 games
42%
Batrider
Batrider
BoBoKa · 17 games
35%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
477 picks · 455 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
440 picks · 520 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
429 picks · 200 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
326 picks · 581 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
288 picks · 403 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
284 picks · 604 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
276 picks · 177 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
261 picks · 74 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 46%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total73% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:17
BETBOOM TEAM 61%Yakult Brothers 39%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Huskar
HuskargpK~
48% · 47 games43% · 98 games
Linaflyfly
Lina
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeKiritych
49% · 198 games55% · 273 games
Storm SpiritEmo
Storm Spirit
Pangolier
PangolierMieRo
43% · 319 games48% · 192 games
Centaur WarrunnerBEYOND
Centaur Warrunner
Windranger
WindrangerSave-
51% · 214 games53% · 151 game
Nature's ProphetBoBoKa
Nature's Prophet
Oracle
OracleKataomi
63% · 29 games54% · 93 games
SilencerOli
Silencer
Game 2prediction correct30:28
BETBOOM TEAM 64%Yakult Brothers 36%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassingpK~
58% · 137 games44% · 155 games
Kunkkaflyfly
Kunkka
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
54% · 294 games45% · 39 games
ViperBEYOND
Viper
Weaver
WeaverKiritych
51% · 95 games47% · 279 games
Storm SpiritEmo
Storm Spirit
Naga Siren
Naga SirenKataomi
58% · 110 games48% · 302 games
TuskBoBoKa
Tusk
Windranger
WindrangerSave-
48% · 206 games47% · 67 games
SilencerOli
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 73%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2