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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO3
result vs prediction
Talon Esportswin 2:1
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Talon Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jhocam · 27 games
74%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Natsumi · 27 games
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Kuku · 26 games
58%
Lina
Linasignature
Mikoto · 23 games
78%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Mikoto · 23 games
61%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Mikoto · 23 games
57%
Doom
Doomsignature
Ws · 20 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mikoto · 20 games
45%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 33 games
61%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 28 games
64%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 27 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 24 games
75%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Kataomi · 21 game
57%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
MieRo · 20 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
480 picks · 464 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
441 picks · 531 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
426 picks · 200 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
326 picks · 576 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
286 picks · 402 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
283 picks · 599 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
274 picks · 174 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
260 picks · 74 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 51%
Hero pool strength50% Talon Esports
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total68% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:18
Talon Esports 41%BETBOOM TEAM 59%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 41:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaMikoto
41% · 78 games50% · 223 games
BeastmasterMieRo
Beastmaster
Tidehunter
Tidehunter23savage
51% · 99 games45% · 104 games
SnipergpK~
Sniper
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerWs
53% · 140 games56% · 26 games
OmniknightKiritych
Omniknight
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonKuku
52% · 113 games50% · 106 games
RingmasterSave-
Ringmaster
Slark
SlarkJhocam
53% · 49 games57% · 20 games
OracleKataomi
Oracle
Game 2prediction correct17:34
Talon Esports 43%BETBOOM TEAM 57%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 36:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
Razor23savage
53% · 58 games43% · 225 games
TerrorbladeKiritych
Terrorblade
Puck
PuckMikoto
58% · 146 games49% · 69 games
Void SpiritgpK~
Void Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerWs
49% · 144 games45% · 27 games
AxeMieRo
Axe
Ringmaster
RingmasterJhocam
42% · 152 games44% · 246 games
WindrangerSave-
Windranger
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionKuku
56% · 102 games69% · 35 games
BaneKataomi
Bane
Game 3prediction missed30:16
Talon Esports 41%BETBOOM TEAM 59%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 1:11:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
Razor23savage
43% · 53 games47% · 74 games
KunkkaKiritych
Kunkka
Lycan
LycanWs
46% · 30 games25% · 4 games
Death ProphetgpK~
Death Prophet
Monkey King
Monkey KingMikoto
52% · 112 games54% · 95 games
EnigmaMieRo
Enigma
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanKuku
57% · 53 games55% · 23 games
BaneKataomi
Bane
Slark
SlarkJhocam
44% · 28 games52% · 80 games
PugnaSave-
Pugna
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 68%
Series resultTalon Esports 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3