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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 33 games
61%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 28 games
64%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 27 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 23 games
74%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Kataomi · 21 game
57%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
MieRo · 20 games
60%

Gaimin Gladiators

Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 32 games
72%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Malady · 23 games
48%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 23 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Quinn · 22 games
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ace · 18 games
44%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Ace · 18 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 16 games
63%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Quinn · 16 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
482 picks · 469 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
443 picks · 534 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
425 picks · 199 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
326 picks · 575 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
286 picks · 400 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
282 picks · 598 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
275 picks · 176 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
260 picks · 74 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 55%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total54% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct5:19
BETBOOM TEAM 48%Gaimin Gladiators 52%
The model gave 52% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 22:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Marci
MarciKiritych
54% · 87 games42% · 151 game
SvenWatson
Sven
Lina
LinagpK~
44% · 63 games47% · 23 games
HuskarQuinn
Huskar
Dark Seer
Dark SeerMieRo
57% · 181 game61% · 119 games
Centaur WarrunnerAce
Centaur Warrunner
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightSave-
49% · 88 games48% · 34 games
OracleMalady
Oracle
Io
IoKataomi
43% · 34 games47% · 126 games
Dark WillowtOfu
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction missed30:11
BETBOOM TEAM 48%Gaimin Gladiators 52%
The model gave 52% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonKiritych
41% · 122 games48% · 69 games
LinaWatson
Lina
Death Prophet
Death ProphetgpK~
47% · 23 games52% · 212 games
PangolierQuinn
Pangolier
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
53% · 417 games57% · 159 games
MuertatOfu
Muerta
Oracle
OracleKataomi
45% · 30 games61% · 94 games
Centaur WarrunnerAce
Centaur Warrunner
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSave-
48% · 120 games49% · 178 games
TuskMalady
Tusk
Game 3prediction correct26:17
BETBOOM TEAM 52%Gaimin Gladiators 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordKiritych
51% · 73 games46% · 137 games
GyrocopterWatson
Gyrocopter
Lina
LinagpK~
52% · 100 games48% · 162 games
BeastmasterAce
Beastmaster
Magnus
MagnusMieRo
60% · 219 games40% · 185 games
PangolierQuinn
Pangolier
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSave-
56% · 151 game35% · 83 games
RingmastertOfu
Ringmaster
Bane
BaneKataomi
65% · 35 games47% · 11 games
Treant ProtectorMalady
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 54%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 3