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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxyloss 0:2
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy

Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
No!ob · 27 games
78%
Phoenix
Phoenix
GH · 26 games
38%
Tusk
Tusk
OmaR · 24 games
58%
Magnus
Magnussignature
No!ob · 21 game
62%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
SumaiL · 20 games
55%
Tiny
Tinysignature
OmaR · 20 games
65%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Ghost · 18 games
56%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
GH · 17 games
65%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 34 games
59%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 28 games
64%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 27 games
63%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 27 games
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 23 games
74%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Kataomi · 21 game
57%
Kunkka
Kunkka
MieRo · 19 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
489 picks · 485 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
445 picks · 551 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
421 picks · 201 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
324 picks · 576 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
285 picks · 396 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
279 picks · 173 bans
48%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
278 picks · 593 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 465 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total69% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:31
Nigma Galaxy 39%BETBOOM TEAM 61%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaGhost
44% · 64 games44% · 118 games
MedusaKiritych
Medusa
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerNo!ob
63% · 124 games50% · 189 games
BeastmasterMieRo
Beastmaster
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSumaiL
53% · 95 games36% · 72 games
KunkkagpK~
Kunkka
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionGH
62% · 114 games56% · 28 games
BaneKataomi
Bane
Earthshaker
Earthshakeryamich
49% · 103 games44% · 93 games
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction correct26:42
Nigma Galaxy 37%BETBOOM TEAM 63%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaGhost
41% · 151 game65% · 63 games
UrsaKiritych
Ursa
Kunkka
KunkkaSumaiL
41% · 122 games56% · 253 games
TinygpK~
Tiny
Axe
AxeNo!ob
37% · 25 games50% · 34 games
OmniknightMieRo
Omniknight
Batrider
Batrideryamich
44% · 192 games57% · 92 games
RingmasterSave-
Ringmaster
Oracle
OracleGH
42% · 11 games63% · 59 games
Ancient ApparitionKataomi
Ancient Apparition
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 69%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2