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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 34 games
59%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 28 games
64%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
54%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 26 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 23 games
74%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kataomi · 21 game
62%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
74%

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 36 games
81%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 29 games
69%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 28 games
82%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 26 games
73%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 25 games
60%
Tiny
Tinysignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
65%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 22 games
77%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
No[o]ne · 22 games
59%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
495 picks · 490 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
438 picks · 562 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
416 picks · 198 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
319 picks · 571 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
279 picks · 395 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
278 picks · 168 bans
48%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
272 picks · 585 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
266 picks · 467 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 67%
Hero pool strength58% PARIVISION
Head-to-head2 – 5
Model total80% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:22
BETBOOM TEAM 33%PARIVISION 67%
The model gave 67% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 41:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeKiritych
44% · 145 games49% · 145 games
KunkkaSatanic
Kunkka
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
52% · 189 games53% · 200 games
PuckNo[o]ne
Puck
Doom
DoomMieRo
51% · 151 game46% · 118 games
BrewmasterDM
Brewmaster
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenKataomi
53% · 127 games46% · 206 games
Dark Willow9Class
Dark Willow
Ringmaster
RingmasterSave-
53% · 79 games61% · 22 games
OracleDukalis
Oracle
Game 2prediction correct9:24
BETBOOM TEAM 31%PARIVISION 69%
The model gave 69% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 26:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkka
KunkkaKiritych
49% · 199 games45% · 173 games
TerrorbladeSatanic
Terrorblade
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendgpK~
51% · 161 game52% · 203 games
Storm SpiritNo[o]ne
Storm Spirit
Tidehunter
TidehunterMieRo
49% · 165 games50% · 229 games
Sand KingDM
Sand King
Windranger
WindrangerSave-
46% · 274 games47% · 155 games
Nature's ProphetDukalis
Nature's Prophet
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionKataomi
58% · 187 games52% · 226 games
Tusk9Class
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 80%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2