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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 2:0
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Liquidloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
BoBoKa · 23 games
57%
Phoenix
Phoenix
天命 · 20 games
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 20 games
75%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Emo · 19 games
42%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
zeal · 18 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 17 games
65%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
63%
Batrider
Batrider
BoBoKa · 15 games
40%

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 41 game
66%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
iNSaNiA · 36 games
72%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Boxi · 26 games
69%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
SabeRLight- · 26 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 25 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 23 games
74%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
miCKe · 21 game
43%
Silencer
Silencersignature
iNSaNiA · 21 game
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
500 picks · 495 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
437 picks · 576 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
410 picks · 196 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
318 picks · 566 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
280 picks · 393 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
278 picks · 162 bans
48%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
270 picks · 571 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
264 picks · 476 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% Team Liquid
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total77% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:7
Yakult Brothers 37%Team Liquid 63%
The model gave 63% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 34:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterflyfly
51% · 262 games47% · 153 games
SvenV-Tune
Sven
Void Spirit
Void SpiritEmo
50% · 73 games45% · 131 game
Shadow FiendNisha
Shadow Fiend
Dark Seer
Dark SeerBEYOND
53% · 205 games48% · 146 games
TimbersawSabeRLight-
Timbersaw
Alchemist
AlchemistBoBoKa
55% · 155 games44% · 247 games
BatriderBoxi
Batrider
Oracle
OracleOli
60% · 31 game53% · 49 games
DisruptoriNSaNiA
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed58:37
Yakult Brothers 39%Team Liquid 61%
The model gave 61% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 1:04:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinflyfly
56% · 149 games51% · 74 games
LunaV-Tune
Luna
Void Spirit
Void SpiritEmo
51% · 65 games44% · 282 games
PangolierNisha
Pangolier
Sand King
Sand KingBEYOND
49% · 233 games44% · 100 games
BrewmasterSabeRLight-
Brewmaster
Magnus
MagnusBoBoKa
55% · 144 games45% · 100 games
Shadow ShamanBoxi
Shadow Shaman
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionOli
64% · 70 games45% · 105 games
Elder TitaniNSaNiA
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 77%
Series resultYakult Brothers 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2