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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO3
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Nightfall · 26 games
54%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Panto · 22 games
55%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Nightfall · 22 games
59%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Mira · 22 games
77%
Tusk
Tusk
Mira · 19 games
58%
Magnus
Magnussignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 18 games
72%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Mira · 16 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 16 games
75%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 34 games
59%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 28 games
64%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
54%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 25 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 23 games
74%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kataomi · 21 game
62%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
74%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
500 picks · 494 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
435 picks · 577 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
409 picks · 195 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
317 picks · 566 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
280 picks · 393 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
277 picks · 161 bans
48%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
269 picks · 570 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
264 picks · 477 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 47%
Hero pool strength50% Aurora Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 4
Model total62% Aurora Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:34
Aurora Gaming 57%BETBOOM TEAM 43%
The model gave 57% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyNightfall
51% · 259 games49% · 131 game
LinagpK~
Lina
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
53% · 153 games47% · 184 games
KunkkaKiritych
Kunkka
Enigma
EnigmaTORONTOTOKYO
54% · 77 games54% · 54 games
OmniknightMieRo
Omniknight
Tusk
TuskMira
52% · 187 games45% · 308 games
WindrangerSave-
Windranger
Jakiro
JakiroPanto
48% · 223 games50% · 222 games
Ancient ApparitionKataomi
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction missed12:33
Aurora Gaming 55%BETBOOM TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 40:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeNightfall
49% · 208 games49% · 148 games
KunkkaKiritych
Kunkka
Magnus
MagnusTORONTOTOKYO
53% · 136 games44% · 455 games
PangoliergpK~
Pangolier
Tiny
Tinykiyotaka
49% · 373 games59% · 42 games
UndyingMieRo
Undying
Chen
ChenPanto
60% · 68 games49% · 235 games
RingmasterKataomi
Ringmaster
Windranger
WindrangerMira
48% · 233 games50% · 138 games
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora Gaming · 62%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2