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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
97%3%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Edgeloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 34 games
79%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 28 games
68%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 27 games
78%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 26 games
73%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 25 games
60%
Tiny
Tinysignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
65%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 21 game
76%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
No[o]ne · 21 game
57%

Edge

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Yadomi · 9 games
44%
Muerta
Muerta
Michael · 8 games
25%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Vitaly · 8 games
25%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
PiPi · 7 games
14%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Yadomi · 6 games
17%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 5 games
20%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Vitaly · 5 games
20%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Michael · 5 games
20%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
503 picks · 495 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
434 picks · 579 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
402 picks · 193 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
313 picks · 563 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
280 picks · 390 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
275 picks · 161 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
267 picks · 562 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
266 picks · 477 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 28%
Hero pool strength70% PARIVISION
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total97% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:10
PARIVISION 87%Edge 13%
The model gave 87% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 31:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingSatanic
57% · 234 games50% · 175 games
Templar Assassinpayk
Templar Assassin
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetNo[o]ne
47% · 150 games42% · 120 games
Queen of PainPiPi
Queen of Pain
Bristleback
BristlebackDM
61% · 248 games48% · 139 games
Centaur WarrunnerVitaly
Centaur Warrunner
Slark
Slark9Class
51% · 55 games56% · 126 games
Shadow ShamanMichael
Shadow Shaman
Ringmaster
RingmasterDukalis
45% · 165 games43% · 292 games
TuskYadomi
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct23:29
PARIVISION 86%Edge 14%
The model gave 86% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 50:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaSatanic
53% · 182 games52% · 106 games
Kunkkapayk
Kunkka
Earthshaker
EarthshakerNo[o]ne
49% · 138 games49% · 101 game
SniperPiPi
Sniper
Enigma
EnigmaDM
58% · 156 games48% · 360 games
BeastmasterVitaly
Beastmaster
Jakiro
JakiroDukalis
49% · 334 games51% · 251 game
RingmasterYadomi
Ringmaster
Terrorblade
Terrorblade9Class
46% · 305 games46% · 297 games
MuertaMichael
Muerta
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 97%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2