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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Talon Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 31 game
74%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Malady · 22 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 21 game
52%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Quinn · 19 games
58%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ace · 18 games
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 16 games
63%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Quinn · 16 games
56%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Malady · 16 games
69%

Talon Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jhocam · 27 games
74%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Natsumi · 25 games
60%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kuku · 25 games
60%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Mikoto · 22 games
64%
Lina
Linasignature
Mikoto · 21 game
76%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Mikoto · 20 games
55%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mikoto · 19 games
47%
Doom
Doomsignature
Ws · 18 games
61%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
503 picks · 495 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
434 picks · 579 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
402 picks · 193 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
313 picks · 563 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
280 picks · 390 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
275 picks · 161 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
267 picks · 562 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
266 picks · 477 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 33%
Hero pool strength54% Talon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total57% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:26
Gaimin Gladiators 53%Talon Esports 47%
The model gave 53% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 44:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeWatson
46% · 256 games54% · 362 games
Morphling23savage
Morphling
Monkey King
Monkey KingQuinn
56% · 214 games52% · 210 games
Nature's ProphetMikoto
Nature's Prophet
Pangolier
PangolierAce
50% · 286 games49% · 214 games
Centaur WarrunnerWs
Centaur Warrunner
Silencer
SilencerMalady
41% · 156 games47% · 229 games
RingmasterJhocam
Ringmaster
Tusk
TusktOfu
46% · 281 game59% · 178 games
Ancient ApparitionKuku
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction correct18:6
Gaimin Gladiators 54%Talon Esports 46%
The model gave 54% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 24:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeWatson
46% · 222 games48% · 105 games
Medusa23savage
Medusa
Monkey King
Monkey KingQuinn
54% · 239 games51% · 221 game
Storm SpiritMikoto
Storm Spirit
Tidehunter
TidehunterAce
53% · 109 games45% · 75 games
BrewmasterWs
Brewmaster
Pugna
PugnaMalady
57% · 150 games52% · 52 games
TinkerKuku
Tinker
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MagetOfu
32% · 18 games48% · 285 games
MuertaJhocam
Muerta
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2