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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 2:0
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
AVULUSloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
BoBoKa · 23 games
57%
Phoenix
Phoenix
天命 · 20 games
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 19 games
74%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Emo · 19 games
42%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 17 games
65%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
zeal · 17 games
47%
Batrider
Batrider
BoBoKa · 15 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 15 games
53%

AVULUS

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Stormstormer · 44 games
48%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Xibbe · 24 games
71%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Ekki · 24 games
63%
Batrider
Batrider
Ekki · 23 games
43%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Xibbe · 23 games
43%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Xibbe · 21 game
43%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Fly · 20 games
55%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Smiling Knight · 20 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
503 picks · 495 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
434 picks · 579 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
402 picks · 193 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
313 picks · 563 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
280 picks · 390 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
275 picks · 161 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
267 picks · 562 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
266 picks · 477 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 35%
Hero pool strength51% Yakult Brothers
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total55% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:1
Yakult Brothers 53%AVULUS 47%
The model gave 53% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 31:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeflyfly
51% · 245 games44% · 147 games
MedusaSmiling Knight
Medusa
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritEmo
51% · 257 games51% · 151 game
Nature's ProphetMo13ei
Nature's Prophet
Sand King
Sand KingBEYOND
47% · 208 games54% · 186 games
Centaur WarrunnerXibbe
Centaur Warrunner
Magnus
MagnusBoBoKa
56% · 157 games51% · 321 game
MuertadEsire
Muerta
Silencer
SilencerOli
43% · 95 games53% · 157 games
Crystal MaidenFly
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct31:27
Yakult Brothers 52%AVULUS 48%
The model gave 52% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 45:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinflyfly
48% · 127 games46% · 190 games
TerrorbladeSmiling Knight
Terrorblade
Slardar
SlardarEmo
45% · 67 games54% · 32 games
ViperMo13ei
Viper
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightBoBoKa
52% · 70 games51% · 206 games
Sand KingXibbe
Sand King
Pangolier
PangolierBEYOND
39% · 235 games63% · 67 games
MiranadEsire
Mirana
Disruptor
DisruptorOli
54% · 29 games64% · 33 games
BaneFly
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 55%
Series resultYakult Brothers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2