DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Muerta
Save- · 34 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 28 games
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 25 games
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 23 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Kataomi · 21 game
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
BOOM Esports
Batrider
Tims · 22 games
Earthshaker
Mac · 21 game
Tinysignature
Mac · 21 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
JaCkky · 20 games
Magnusoften banned
Fbz · 20 games
Lion
Tims · 19 games
Pangolieroften banned
Mac · 17 games
Phoenixsignature
Jaunuel · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
503 picks · 494 bans
Tiny
432 picks · 576 bans
Ringmaster
400 picks · 190 bans
Terrorblade
310 picks · 561 bans
Storm Spirit
279 picks · 389 bans
Tusk
272 picks · 161 bans
Ancient Apparition
263 picks · 559 bans
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 475 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total68% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:20
BETBOOM TEAM 63%BOOM Esports 37%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 45:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinKiritych
AbaddonJaCkky
Ember SpiritgpK~
Dragon KnightArmel
EnigmaMieRo
Sand KingJabz
Shadow ShamanSave-
RingmasterJaunuel
BaneKataomi
TuskTims
Game 2prediction correct24:25
BETBOOM TEAM 59%BOOM Esports 41%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaKiritych
LifestealerJaCkky
Sand KingMieRo
DoomJabz
EarthshakergpK~
PuckArmel
Keeper of the LightSave-
Shadow ShamanTims
BaneKataomi
Elder TitanJaunuel
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 68%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2