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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Nigma Galaxyloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ame · 28 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
XinQ · 23 games
61%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
天命 · 22 games
64%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Ame · 22 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Poloson · 21 game
52%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 21 game
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
lou · 20 games
55%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
天命 · 19 games
63%

Nigma Galaxy

Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
No!ob · 26 games
77%
Phoenix
Phoenix
GH · 25 games
40%
Tusk
Tusk
OmaR · 22 games
55%
Magnus
Magnussignature
No!ob · 20 games
65%
Tiny
Tinysignature
OmaR · 19 games
68%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
SumaiL · 17 games
53%
Io
Iosignature
GH · 16 games
69%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Ghost · 16 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
503 picks · 494 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
432 picks · 576 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
400 picks · 190 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
310 picks · 561 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
279 picks · 389 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
272 picks · 161 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
263 picks · 559 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 475 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total51% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:15
Xtreme Gaming 48%Nigma Galaxy 52%
The model gave 52% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 35:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeAme
44% · 245 games53% · 189 games
InvokerSumaiL
Invoker
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritXm
52% · 248 games46% · 300 games
GyrocopterGhost
Gyrocopter
Pangolier
PangolierXxs
45% · 418 games54% · 263 games
DoomNo!ob
Doom
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanPoloson
42% · 105 games56% · 134 games
Nyx Assassinyamich
Nyx Assassin
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightXinQ
54% · 52 games58% · 182 games
Elder TitanGH
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction missed9:23
Xtreme Gaming 52%Nigma Galaxy 48%
The model gave 52% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 20:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterAme
57% · 138 games50% · 183 games
UrsaGhost
Ursa
Dark Seer
Dark SeerXxs
52% · 173 games38% · 73 games
Queen of PainSumaiL
Queen of Pain
Razor
RazorXm
47% · 62 games51% · 99 games
UnderlordNo!ob
Underlord
Earthshaker
EarthshakerXinQ
55% · 70 games49% · 109 games
Shadow Shamanyamich
Shadow Shaman
Elder Titan
Elder TitanPoloson
61% · 86 games39% · 65 games
SilencerGH
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 51%
Accuracy by game0 of 2