?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Yakult Brothersloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 30 games
77%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Malady · 21 game
48%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 20 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Quinn · 19 games
58%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ace · 18 games
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 16 games
63%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Quinn · 16 games
56%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Malady · 16 games
69%

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
BoBoKa · 23 games
57%
Phoenix
Phoenix
天命 · 20 games
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 19 games
74%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Emo · 19 games
42%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 17 games
65%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
zeal · 17 games
47%
Batrider
Batrider
BoBoKa · 15 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 15 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
502 picks · 495 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
432 picks · 576 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
397 picks · 189 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
308 picks · 561 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
279 picks · 390 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
272 picks · 159 bans
49%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
264 picks · 519 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 475 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total57% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:18
Gaimin Gladiators 51%Yakult Brothers 49%
The model gave 51% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 36:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeWatson
47% · 171 game55% · 220 games
Nature's Prophetflyfly
Nature's Prophet
Sand King
Sand KingAce
44% · 160 games48% · 146 games
Queen of PainEmo
Queen of Pain
Monkey King
Monkey KingQuinn
52% · 185 games52% · 197 games
Centaur WarrunnerBEYOND
Centaur Warrunner
Ringmaster
RingmastertOfu
45% · 175 games53% · 214 games
Ancient ApparitionOli
Ancient Apparition
Jakiro
JakiroMalady
49% · 241 game55% · 155 games
Shadow ShamanBoBoKa
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction missed34:59
Gaimin Gladiators 52%Yakult Brothers 48%
The model gave 52% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 1:37:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaAce
48% · 198 games50% · 275 games
Gyrocopterflyfly
Gyrocopter
Sven
SvenWatson
49% · 181 game53% · 263 games
Ember SpiritEmo
Ember Spirit
Sand King
Sand KingQuinn
49% · 310 games48% · 329 games
PangolierBEYOND
Pangolier
Muerta
MuertatOfu
47% · 330 games63% · 128 games
Ancient ApparitionBoBoKa
Ancient Apparition
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanMalady
39% · 130 games57% · 154 games
Elder TitanOli
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2