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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorwin 2:0
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Natus Vincere Junior

Phoenix
Phoenix
Riddys · 31 game
58%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Niku · 28 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
gotthejuice · 25 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
pma · 23 games
52%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
pma · 23 games
61%
Lich
Lichsignature
Riddys · 21 game
62%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
gotthejuice · 20 games
65%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
gotthejuice · 19 games
63%

Gaimin Gladiators

Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 30 games
77%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Malady · 20 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 19 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 18 games
61%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ace · 17 games
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 16 games
63%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Quinn · 16 games
56%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Malady · 16 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
500 picks · 492 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
422 picks · 572 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
386 picks · 185 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
298 picks · 553 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
276 picks · 384 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
267 picks · 157 bans
49%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
263 picks · 514 bans
52%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
260 picks · 680 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 59%
Hero pool strength52% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total77% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:12
Natus Vincere Junior 35%Gaimin Gladiators 65%
The model gave 65% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 37:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
Abaddongotthejuice
46% · 147 games47% · 223 games
TerrorbladeWatson
Terrorblade
Timbersaw
Timbersawpma
42% · 161 game52% · 255 games
BeastmasterAce
Beastmaster
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNiku
54% · 325 games44% · 266 games
PangolierQuinn
Pangolier
Earthshaker
EarthshakerZayac
49% · 156 games56% · 93 games
Keeper of the LighttOfu
Keeper of the Light
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionRiddys
62% · 140 games48% · 92 games
Shadow ShamanMalady
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction missed42:3
Natus Vincere Junior 33%Gaimin Gladiators 67%
The model gave 67% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 33:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
Timbersawpma
55% · 137 games51% · 147 games
MedusaAce
Medusa
Abaddon
Abaddongotthejuice
46% · 88 games48% · 90 games
RazorWatson
Razor
Tiny
TinyNiku
51% · 379 games58% · 214 games
Monkey KingQuinn
Monkey King
Snapfire
SnapfireZayac
43% · 182 games46% · 240 games
WindrangertOfu
Windranger
Ringmaster
RingmasterRiddys
48% · 253 games52% · 348 games
JakiroMalady
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 77%
Series resultNatus Vincere Junior 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2