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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nigma Galaxywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Batrider
Batrider
Tims · 22 games
59%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Mac · 21 game
52%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Mac · 21 game
71%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
JaCkky · 20 games
55%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Fbz · 19 games
47%
Lion
Lion
Tims · 18 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Mac · 16 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Jaunuel · 15 games
73%

Nigma Galaxy

Phoenix
Phoenix
GH · 25 games
40%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
No!ob · 24 games
75%
Magnus
Magnussignature
No!ob · 20 games
65%
Tiny
Tinysignature
OmaR · 19 games
68%
Tusk
Tusk
OmaR · 18 games
44%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
SumaiL · 17 games
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No!ob · 15 games
53%
Io
Iosignature
GH · 15 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
500 picks · 491 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
418 picks · 571 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
381 picks · 184 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
296 picks · 551 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
275 picks · 381 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
265 picks · 156 bans
49%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
263 picks · 514 bans
52%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
259 picks · 677 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 46%
Hero pool strength50% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:24
BOOM Esports 53%Nigma Galaxy 47%
The model gave 53% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 23:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinArmel
52% · 120 games44% · 252 games
MorphlingGhost
Morphling
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightJaCkky
50% · 285 games43% · 124 games
SniperSumaiL
Sniper
Tidehunter
TidehunterJabz
55% · 105 games60% · 12 games
Vengeful SpiritNo!ob
Vengeful Spirit
Tinker
TinkerJaunuel
58% · 66 games45% · 129 games
Elder TitanGH
Elder Titan
Lion
LionTims
55% · 195 games51% · 254 games
Tuskyamich
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed14:40
BOOM Esports 52%Nigma Galaxy 48%
The model gave 52% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 39:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingJaCkky
52% · 222 games48% · 142 games
MarciGhost
Marci
Pangolier
PangolierArmel
49% · 352 games51% · 204 games
InvokerSumaiL
Invoker
Sand King
Sand KingJabz
56% · 175 games49% · 133 games
DawnbreakerNo!ob
Dawnbreaker
Ringmaster
RingmasterTims
54% · 52 games45% · 307 games
Tuskyamich
Tusk
Bane
BaneJaunuel
45% · 16 games46% · 31 game
IoGH
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 54%
Series resultNigma Galaxy 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2