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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
OG LATAMloss 1:1
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG LATAM

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
MoOz · 4 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
MoOz · 3 games
0%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
MoOz · 2 games
0%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 2 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkka
DarkMago · 2 games
0%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Elmisho · 2 games
0%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
DarkMago · 2 games
0%
Sven
Sven
K1 · 2 games
0%

Xtreme Gaming

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ame · 27 games
52%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
天命 · 22 games
64%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
XinQ · 22 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Poloson · 21 game
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Xxs · 21 game
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
lou · 20 games
55%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 20 games
70%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
天命 · 19 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
500 picks · 491 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
418 picks · 571 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
381 picks · 184 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
296 picks · 551 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
275 picks · 381 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
265 picks · 156 bans
49%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
263 picks · 514 bans
52%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
259 picks · 677 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 60%
Hero pool strength61% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:23
OG LATAM 38%Xtreme Gaming 62%
The model gave 62% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 36:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeK1
50% · 163 games43% · 124 games
MedusaAme
Medusa
Tiny
TinyDarkMago
48% · 311 games51% · 180 games
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
Centaur Warrunner
Tidehunter
TidehunterILICH-
49% · 71 game49% · 142 games
SlardarXm
Slardar
Weaver
WeaverElmisho
56% · 116 games51% · 160 games
Shadow DemonXinQ
Shadow Demon
Warlock
WarlockMoOz
44% · 93 games60% · 148 games
Ancient ApparitionPoloson
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction missed33:24
OG LATAM 39%Xtreme Gaming 61%
The model gave 61% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by OG LATAM in 47:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaK1
49% · 113 games46% · 468 games
TinyAme
Tiny
Sand King
Sand KingDarkMago
53% · 226 games53% · 258 games
Monkey KingXm
Monkey King
Dark Seer
Dark SeerILICH-
41% · 187 games44% · 121 game
SlardarXxs
Slardar
Clockwerk
ClockwerkElmisho
52% · 332 games56% · 77 games
TinkerPoloson
Tinker
Warlock
WarlockMoOz
51% · 168 games56% · 102 games
Shadow ShamanXinQ
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 69%
Accuracy by game1 of 2