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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Aurora Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 34 games
59%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 27 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 23 games
74%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 23 games
65%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kataomi · 21 game
62%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 21 game
57%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
74%

Aurora Gaming

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Nightfall · 23 games
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Panto · 22 games
55%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Mira · 21 game
76%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Nightfall · 20 games
60%
Tusk
Tusk
Mira · 19 games
58%
Magnus
Magnussignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 16 games
75%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Nightfall · 14 games
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 14 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
500 picks · 491 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
418 picks · 571 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
381 picks · 184 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
296 picks · 551 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
275 picks · 381 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
265 picks · 156 bans
49%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
263 picks · 514 bans
52%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
259 picks · 677 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 51%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total51% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct4:29
BETBOOM TEAM 49%Aurora Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 28:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
49% · 244 games49% · 164 games
Phantom AssassinNightfall
Phantom Assassin
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeKiritych
51% · 214 games50% · 148 games
TidehunterTORONTOTOKYO
Tidehunter
Mars
MarsMieRo
46% · 156 games49% · 417 games
Tinykiyotaka
Tiny
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
52% · 101 game52% · 87 games
MiranaMira
Mirana
Ringmaster
RingmasterKataomi
47% · 131 game63% · 30 games
BanePanto
Bane
Game 2prediction correct29:25
BETBOOM TEAM 52%Aurora Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 42:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingKiritych
49% · 346 games49% · 125 games
Phantom AssassinNightfall
Phantom Assassin
Huskar
HuskargpK~
53% · 42 games52% · 184 games
BristlebackTORONTOTOKYO
Bristleback
Dark Seer
Dark SeerMieRo
56% · 212 games50% · 271 game
Pangolierkiyotaka
Pangolier
Ringmaster
RingmasterKataomi
45% · 138 games50% · 105 games
WarlockPanto
Warlock
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightSave-
44% · 50 games49% · 103 games
LionMira
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 51%
Accuracy by game2 of 2