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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 31 game
77%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 27 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 26 games
58%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 26 games
77%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 25 games
72%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 23 games
74%
Tiny
Tinysignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
65%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
No[o]ne · 22 games
59%

Gaimin Gladiators

Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 29 games
79%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Malady · 19 games
53%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 19 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 18 games
61%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ace · 17 games
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 16 games
63%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Quinn · 16 games
56%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Malady · 16 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
498 picks · 491 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
416 picks · 572 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
378 picks · 183 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
294 picks · 549 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
274 picks · 382 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
265 picks · 156 bans
49%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
263 picks · 514 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
259 picks · 143 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 59%
Hero pool strength56% PARIVISION
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total63% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:21
PARIVISION 60%Gaimin Gladiators 40%
The model gave 60% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 42:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkka
KunkkaSatanic
46% · 149 games50% · 440 games
TinyWatson
Tiny
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
51% · 416 games52% · 117 games
BrewmasterAce
Brewmaster
Dark Seer
Dark SeerDM
51% · 281 game54% · 250 games
Sand KingQuinn
Sand King
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanDukalis
53% · 124 games60% · 116 games
Keeper of the LighttOfu
Keeper of the Light
Terrorblade
Terrorblade9Class
39% · 285 games45% · 332 games
JakiroMalady
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct31:13
PARIVISION 57%Gaimin Gladiators 43%
The model gave 57% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 35:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSatanic
40% · 243 games53% · 165 games
UrsaWatson
Ursa
Pangolier
PangolierNo[o]ne
48% · 333 games56% · 197 games
PuckQuinn
Puck
Dark Seer
Dark SeerDM
53% · 235 games55% · 163 games
TidehunterAce
Tidehunter
Disruptor
DisruptorDukalis
42% · 41 game50% · 281 game
MuertatOfu
Muerta
Ringmaster
Ringmaster9Class
47% · 120 games54% · 166 games
Elder TitanMalady
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 63%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2