DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xtreme Gaming
Tinyoften banned
Xm · 26 games
Jakirosignature
天命 · 22 games
Clockwerk
Poloson · 21 game
Shadow Shamansignature
XinQ · 21 game
Terrorbladesignature
Xxs · 21 game
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 20 games
Elder Titansignature
天命 · 19 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
lou · 19 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Muerta
Save- · 34 games
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 27 games
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 23 games
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 23 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Kataomi · 21 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 21 game
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
496 picks · 490 bans
Tiny
413 picks · 566 bans
Ringmaster
373 picks · 180 bans
Terrorblade
290 picks · 545 bans
Storm Spirit
271 picks · 378 bans
Tusk
263 picks · 154 bans
Phantom Assassin
261 picks · 514 bans
Muerta
257 picks · 144 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 49%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 6
Model total53% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:33
Xtreme Gaming 51%BETBOOM TEAM 49%
The model gave 51% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 51:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TinyAme
Templar AssassinKiritych
Dragon KnightXm
SlardargpK~
TidehunterXxs
Dark SeerMieRo
Ancient ApparitionPoloson
BaneKataomi
Shadow ShamanXinQ
Chaos KnightSave-
Game 2prediction correct30:20
Xtreme Gaming 55%BETBOOM TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 43:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterAme
TerrorbladeKiritych
Ember SpiritXm
Sand KinggpK~
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
MedusaMieRo
Keeper of the LightXinQ
WindrangerSave-
Ancient ApparitionPoloson
SilencerKataomi
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2