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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 1:1
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Yakult Brothersloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 31 game
77%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 27 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 26 games
58%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 26 games
77%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 25 games
72%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 23 games
74%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
No[o]ne · 22 games
59%
Tiny
Tinysignature
No[o]ne · 22 games
68%

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
天命 · 22 games
59%
Phoenix
Phoenix
天命 · 20 games
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 18 games
72%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Emo · 18 games
44%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
zeal · 17 games
47%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 16 games
69%
Batrider
Batrider
BoBoKa · 15 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 15 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
494 picks · 491 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
410 picks · 563 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
370 picks · 179 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
286 picks · 543 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
268 picks · 377 bans
53%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
261 picks · 515 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
261 picks · 152 bans
48%
Bristleback
Bristleback
257 picks · 499 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% PARIVISION
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total63% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed5:23
PARIVISION 57%Yakult Brothers 43%
The model gave 57% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 38:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingSatanic
50% · 258 games52% · 180 games
Templar Assassinflyfly
Templar Assassin
Tiny
TinyNo[o]ne
46% · 370 games51% · 283 games
Storm SpiritEmo
Storm Spirit
Brewmaster
BrewmasterDM
45% · 110 games62% · 153 games
EnigmaBEYOND
Enigma
Tinker
Tinker9Class
47% · 86 games51% · 110 games
Keeper of the LightOli
Keeper of the Light
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionDukalis
51% · 128 games46% · 226 games
TuskBoBoKa
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct30:21
PARIVISION 56%Yakult Brothers 44%
The model gave 56% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 45:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSatanic
45% · 280 games51% · 183 games
InvokerEmo
Invoker
Dark Seer
Dark SeerDM
56% · 212 games50% · 255 games
Morphlingflyfly
Morphling
Pangolier
PangolierNo[o]ne
46% · 509 games43% · 157 games
MedusaBEYOND
Medusa
Tinker
Tinker9Class
48% · 91 game51% · 457 games
TinyBoBoKa
Tiny
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanDukalis
49% · 113 games61% · 153 games
Elder TitanOli
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 63%
Accuracy by game1 of 2