?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 1:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 38 games
68%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
iNSaNiA · 35 games
74%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Boxi · 29 games
72%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
SabeRLight- · 26 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 25 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 22 games
73%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
miCKe · 20 games
45%
Phoenix
Phoenix
iNSaNiA · 20 games
50%

Xtreme Gaming

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Xm · 26 games
54%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
天命 · 22 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Poloson · 21 game
52%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
XinQ · 21 game
67%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Xxs · 21 game
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 20 games
70%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
lou · 19 games
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 19 games
47%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
490 picks · 490 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
407 picks · 561 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
368 picks · 176 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
284 picks · 540 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
266 picks · 374 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
261 picks · 150 bans
48%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
259 picks · 514 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
257 picks · 144 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% Team Liquid
Head-to-head6 – 0
Model total55% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:29
Team Liquid 53%Xtreme Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 55:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinV-Tune
52% · 180 games54% · 179 games
MorphlingAme
Morphling
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainNisha
41% · 112 games57% · 186 games
Monkey KingXm
Monkey King
Tidehunter
TidehunterSabeRLight-
57% · 95 games50% · 97 games
BrewmasterXxs
Brewmaster
Techies
TechiesBoxi
42% · 32 games47% · 120 games
Elder TitanPoloson
Elder Titan
Jakiro
JakiroiNSaNiA
45% · 236 games49% · 73 games
LionXinQ
Lion
Game 2prediction missed8:26
Team Liquid 53%Xtreme Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 24:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkV-Tune
49% · 86 games52% · 187 games
MorphlingAme
Morphling
Tiny
TinyNisha
48% · 356 games52% · 266 games
BristlebackXxs
Bristleback
Doom
DoomSabeRLight-
55% · 188 games42% · 93 games
SlardarXm
Slardar
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightiNSaNiA
48% · 70 games50% · 163 games
Shadow DemonXinQ
Shadow Demon
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanBoxi
55% · 74 games46% · 65 games
TinkerPoloson
Tinker
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2