DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
OG LATAMloss 1:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
OG LATAM
Ringmaster
Elmisho · 2 games
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 1 game
Jakiro
MoOz · 1 game
Kunkka
DarkMago · 1 game
Sand Kingoften banned
DarkMago · 1 game
Sven
K1 · 1 game
Underlord
ILICH- · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
K1 · 1 game
BETBOOM TEAM
Muertasignature
Save- · 33 games
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 27 games
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 23 games
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 22 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Kataomi · 21 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 21 game
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
496 picks · 489 bans
Tiny
404 picks · 553 bans
Ringmaster
365 picks · 173 bans
Terrorblade
282 picks · 537 bans
Storm Spirit
264 picks · 372 bans
Phantom Assassin
260 picks · 518 bans
Tusk
260 picks · 150 bans
Muerta
259 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 52%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:28
OG LATAM 47%BETBOOM TEAM 53%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by OG LATAM in 44:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
BeastmasterK1
Nature's ProphetgpK~
Ember SpiritDarkMago
UrsaKiritych
Dark SeerILICH-
KunkkaMieRo
RingmasterMoOz
MuertaSave-
Keeper of the LightElmisho
TuskKataomi
Game 2prediction correct12:36
OG LATAM 44%BETBOOM TEAM 56%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterK1
Templar AssassinKiritych
Storm SpiritDarkMago
Outworld DestroyergpK~
UnderlordILICH-
TimbersawMieRo
WindrangerElmisho
RingmasterSave-
Ancient ApparitionMoOz
Chaos KnightKataomi
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 58%
Accuracy by game1 of 2