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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:2
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
iNSaNiA · 36 games
75%
Tiny
Tinysignature
miCKe · 36 games
69%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Boxi · 28 games
71%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
SabeRLight- · 27 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 25 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 22 games
73%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Nisha · 21 game
43%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
miCKe · 20 games
45%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 33 games
61%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 27 games
52%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 26 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 23 games
74%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kataomi · 21 game
62%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 21 game
57%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 20 games
60%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
74%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
490 picks · 483 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
395 picks · 546 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
356 picks · 166 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
275 picks · 534 bans
47%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
260 picks · 511 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
259 picks · 369 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
258 picks · 145 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
257 picks · 148 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 51%
Hero pool strength51% Team Liquid
Head-to-head4 – 7
Model total65% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:44
Team Liquid 58%BETBOOM TEAM 42%
The model gave 58% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetNisha
50% · 176 games49% · 239 games
TimbersawMieRo
Timbersaw
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightV-Tune
44% · 418 games51% · 400 games
TinyKiritych
Tiny
Medusa
MedusaSabeRLight-
46% · 142 games55% · 228 games
Monkey KinggpK~
Monkey King
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitioniNSaNiA
57% · 140 games53% · 190 games
RingmasterKataomi
Ringmaster
Tusk
TuskBoxi
41% · 266 games56% · 85 games
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction missed36:41
Team Liquid 57%BETBOOM TEAM 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:03:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyNisha
51% · 424 games45% · 124 games
AbaddonKiritych
Abaddon
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSabeRLight-
54% · 254 games53% · 226 games
MagnusMieRo
Magnus
Wraith King
Wraith KingV-Tune
57% · 37 games39% · 335 games
PangoliergpK~
Pangolier
Silencer
SilenceriNSaNiA
54% · 107 games49% · 192 games
RingmasterKataomi
Ringmaster
Earthshaker
EarthshakerBoxi
49% · 144 games51% · 89 games
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 65%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2