Студенческая лига Сбера 2025 · BO3
result vs predictionУУУНиТloss 1:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
РМРТУ МИРЭАwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
УУНиТ
No games played over 6 months.
РТУ МИРЭА
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
489 picks · 482 bans
Tiny
401 picks · 549 bans
Ringmaster
355 picks · 164 bans
Terrorblade
277 picks · 532 bans
Phantom Assassin
262 picks · 525 bans
Storm Spirit
262 picks · 369 bans
Muerta
260 picks · 147 bans
Beastmaster
257 picks · 578 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 75%
Hero pool strength50% УУНиТ
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% УУНиТ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:37
УУНиТ 52%РТУ МИРЭА 48%
The model gave 52% on УУНиТ — the game was taken by РТУ МИРЭА in 37:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Arc WardenKatsura
Tidehunterspirit
Game 2prediction correct17:4
УУНиТ 53%РТУ МИРЭА 47%
The model gave 53% on УУНиТ — the game was taken by УУНиТ in 29:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon KnightKatsura
Abaddonspirit
Game 3prediction missed6:33
УУНиТ 50%РТУ МИРЭА 50%
The model gave 50% on УУНиТ — the game was taken by РТУ МИРЭА in 28:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Outworld DestroyerKatsura
Slardarspirit
Model check result
Model favoriteУУНиТ · 50%
Series resultРТУ МИРЭА 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3