Galaxy Ez Turbo · BO1
result vs prediction
Recrent Teamwin 1:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:0
DTDread Teamloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Recrent Team
Grimstroke
Shishak · 4 games
Axeoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 3 games
Clinkzoften banned
Smiling Knight · 3 games
Dark Willow
Shishak · 3 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
Smiling Knight · 3 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Recrent · 3 games
Lich
Ubica · 3 games
Pudge
Ubica · 3 games
Dread Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
641 picks · 446 bans
Rubick
599 picks · 339 bans
Pangolier
455 picks · 660 bans
Phoenix
454 picks · 532 bans
Tiny
403 picks · 355 bans
Storm Spirit
347 picks · 394 bans
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 505 bans
Puck
326 picks · 996 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Recrent Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Recrent Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Recrent Team 69%Dread Team 31%
The model gave 69% on Recrent Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteRecrent Team · 69%
Series resultRecrent Team 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1