Immortal Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team 老陈loss 1:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team DYwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team 老陈
No games played over 6 months.
Team DY
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
487 picks · 476 bans
Tiny
411 picks · 559 bans
Ringmaster
349 picks · 159 bans
Terrorblade
287 picks · 537 bans
Beastmaster
268 picks · 579 bans
Phantom Assassin
267 picks · 562 bans
Bristleback
264 picks · 502 bans
Storm Spirit
263 picks · 373 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team 老陈
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Team 老陈
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team 老陈 51%Team DY 49%
The model gave 51% on Team 老陈 — the game was taken by Team DY.
Game 2prediction correct
Team 老陈 51%Team DY 49%
The model gave 51% on Team 老陈 — the game was taken by Team 老陈.
Game 3prediction missed
Team 老陈 51%Team DY 49%
The model gave 51% on Team 老陈 — the game was taken by Team DY.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam 老陈 · 51%
Series resultTeam DY 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3