Студенческая лига Сбера 2025 · BO1
result vs prediction
НГТУwin 1:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:0
ГГУАПloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
НГТУ
No games played over 6 months.
ГУАП
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
486 picks · 475 bans
Tiny
411 picks · 559 bans
Ringmaster
347 picks · 159 bans
Terrorblade
287 picks · 535 bans
Beastmaster
267 picks · 579 bans
Phantom Assassin
267 picks · 560 bans
Storm Spirit
263 picks · 373 bans
Bristleback
262 picks · 502 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% НГТУ
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% НГТУ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
НГТУ 55%ГУАП 45%
The model gave 55% on НГТУ — the game was taken by НГТУ.
Model check result
Model favoriteНГТУ · 55%
Series resultНГТУ 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1