DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandaswin 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
beastcoastloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
9Pandas
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 47 games
Rubick
Antares · 38 games
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 26 games
Doomsignature
MieRo · 23 games
Undyingsignature
Solo · 23 games
Disruptor
Solo · 21 game
Nature's Prophetoften banned
MieRo · 21 game
Tinysignature
kiyotaka · 21 game
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
751 picks · 623 bans
Disruptor
614 picks · 535 bans
Beastmaster
550 picks · 1335 bans
Doom
548 picks · 1083 bans
Techies
473 picks · 524 bans
Pangolier
469 picks · 967 bans
Ember Spirit
463 picks · 1167 bans
Enchantress
449 picks · 639 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 43%
Hero pool strength55% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:35
9Pandas 60%beastcoast 40%
The model gave 60% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 50:32.
Game 2prediction correct34:22
9Pandas 60%beastcoast 40%
The model gave 60% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 38:23.
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 60%
Series result9Pandas 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2