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ESL One Berlin Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 1:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Techies
Techiessignature
Antares · 36 games
61%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 33 games
48%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
MieRo · 21 game
48%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Solo · 20 games
55%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 19 games
63%
Tiny
Tinysignature
kiyotaka · 17 games
65%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
RAMZES666 · 16 games
63%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
kiyotaka · 15 games
47%

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 19 games
63%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 16 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
77%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
69%
Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 12 games
67%
Tiny
Tiny
Save- · 12 games
58%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 11 games
82%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Nightfall · 9 games
22%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
998 picks · 708 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
629 picks · 465 bans
52%
Disruptor
Disruptor
575 picks · 424 bans
55%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
566 picks · 912 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
524 picks · 399 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
521 picks · 367 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
513 picks · 1208 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
499 picks · 1097 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:28
9Pandas 51%BETBOOM TEAM 49%
The model gave 51% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 40:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
57% · 154 games44% · 48 games
UrsaNightfall
Ursa
Sand King
Sand KingMieRo
40% · 56 games50% · 25 games
TidehunterResolut1on
Tidehunter
Slardar
SlardarRAMZES666
45% · 25 games48% · 204 games
TinygpK~
Tiny
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterAntares
53% · 20 games48% · 56 games
PugnaSave-
Pugna
Io
IoRodjER
57% · 113 games50% · 35 games
ChenTORONTOTOKYO
Chen
Game 2prediction missed16:32
9Pandas 53%BETBOOM TEAM 47%
The model gave 53% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinkiyotaka
48% · 152 games46% · 57 games
Shadow FiendgpK~
Shadow Fiend
Riki
RikiRAMZES666
52% · 130 games48% · 71 game
SlarkNightfall
Slark
Underlord
UnderlordMieRo
47% · 82 games53% · 164 games
BeastmasterResolut1on
Beastmaster
Techies
TechiesAntares
48% · 113 games60% · 70 games
ChenTORONTOTOKYO
Chen
Phoenix
PhoenixRodjER
45% · 166 games53% · 281 game
RubickSave-
Rubick
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2