DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
5%95%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
9Pandas
Tinyoften banned
erase · 29 games
Clockwerkoften banned
lupsione · 26 games
Elder Titan
Solo · 22 games
Undyingsignature
Solo · 21 game
Lion
lupsione · 20 games
Tidehuntersignature
laise · 18 games
Phoenixoften banned
Solo · 17 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
laise · 16 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Muertasignature
Save- · 30 games
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 29 games
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 23 games
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 20 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
517 picks · 781 bans
Tiny
502 picks · 608 bans
Clockwerk
491 picks · 512 bans
Batrider
473 picks · 571 bans
Muerta
440 picks · 375 bans
Magnus
430 picks · 996 bans
Gyrocopter
420 picks · 779 bans
Bristleback
391 picks · 895 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 58%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:39
9Pandas 18%BETBOOM TEAM 82%
The model gave 82% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 31:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom AssassinV-Tune
MagnusPure~
Lycanlaise
TinyMieRo
InvokerSerenada
PangoliergpK~
ZeusSolo
LionSave-
Clockwerklupsione
LichKataomi
Game 2prediction correct17:34
9Pandas 19%BETBOOM TEAM 81%
The model gave 81% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon KnightV-Tune
Phantom AssassinPure~
Earth SpiritSerenada
BeastmasterMieRo
Dawnbreakerlaise
TinygpK~
Tusklupsione
MuertaSave-
PugnaSolo
WarlockKataomi
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 95%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2