Elite League · BO3
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 0:2series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
9Pandas
Marsoften banned
Alberkaaa · 14 games
Undyingoften banned
Solo · 11 games
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 10 games
Dragon Knightsignature
RAMZES666 · 9 games
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 9 games
Alchemistoften banned
RAMZES666 · 8 games
Gyrocopter
DarkLord^ · 8 games
Naga Sirensignature
DarkLord^ · 8 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
473 picks · 766 bans
Mars
439 picks · 705 bans
Techies
435 picks · 347 bans
Batrider
430 picks · 910 bans
Tiny
430 picks · 566 bans
Lion
414 picks · 357 bans
Crystal Maiden
411 picks · 186 bans
Rubick
401 picks · 195 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 58%
Hero pool strength52% 9Pandas
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total79% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:27
9Pandas 21%Entity 79%
The model gave 79% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 22:00.
Game 2prediction correct36:34
9Pandas 21%Entity 79%
The model gave 79% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 45:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 79%
Series resultEntity 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2